Numbers,
The "2meters" you saw is a misunderstanding. Radar Cross section is measure in square meters, but I cant type 1 meter squared like one would right it on paper (with a small number slightly above the larger number). So when I typed the F-22 perhaps has a RCS of 0.001m2 I mean it is One Thousandth of a meter squared. This is much smaller than most birds for a better visual..Long story short, very small target (I've also seen claims of it being even smaller!)
Secondly, shape is only one factor in modern stealth. The two aircraft are generally similar in shape but most experts (including the people at AUPOWER) think it much larger than an F-22 on radar. Its airframe isnt nearly as smooth in appearance to the F-22's. Also, the engine exhausts of the F-22 are much stealthier thanks to be flatter (designed for both stealth and 2D thrust vectoring). Also, overall the control surfaces on the F-22 are much thinner (which makes its head-on RCS smaller) than the F-35. The other big difference is the intent of the design. The F-22 was designed for Air Superiority while the F-35 was not.
Here is good article on the differences between the two aircraft including their comparative stealth:
http://www.ausairpower.net/APA-JSF-Analysis.htmlUltimately though, no one knows what either aircrafts' RCS really is but close study by most experts predict the F-35 will not be as stealthy as the F-22 is, though both are still quite stealthy (Though the Air Force did reveal somewhat vague RCS descriptions in 2005). However, I think the NEBO is a greater threat to the F-35 than the F-22 largely because of the F-35's inferior manueverability, range, speed, and internal payload. This is why there are so many people skeptical of the F-35, considering its high cost, most are not pleased with performance compared to the slightly older F-22.
The NEBO is obviously still a threat to the F-22 or any other stealth aircraft (including the even stealthier B-2 bomber), its all a matter of coverage and integration. The NEBO can/could detect the F-22 but at what range is a big factor. Traditional stealth aircraft tactics involve avoiding such advanced radar by moving beyond their detectable range, but if the defenders can arrange the radars in such a way to make such avoidance manuevers more difficult. Combine this with sophisticated Infared detection system, one could make it easier for stealth aircraft to not only be detected by possibly even tracked. The biggest problem I see to this is setting up the radars is the proper location. Systems like the NEBO should be set up around only Iran's most hardened sites where they are many cross-secting survellience systems to aid them in triangulating a possible stealth aircraft's position. Putting such systems along the coast is a waste since they range against Stealth aircraft is limited and therefore they can be avoided more easily than if they were having to avoid a more saturated airspace like around more strategic locations (such as Natanz).
Long story short, Stealth is very very difficult to counter, but its hardly impossible. One of Stealth's biggest advantages was the element of surprise, as in the enemy know very little or nothing of stealth technology (its strengths and weaknesses). However, in today's world, stealth technology is well known publically and Iran has likely been planning on the possibility of stealth aircraft being used for several years now which at least gives them the advantage of being able to study all known uses of stealth aircraft and prepare as best they can and now that they have tech like the NEBO and other systems it gives Iranian Air Defense commanders a much better chance of counter stealth then the Iraqis or Serbians had (and the Serbs still manage to shoot down a F-117). So I think its quite possible for Iranian Air Defense to take out stealth aircraft. But I think we have been focusing on the F-22 too much..It isnt going to be the aircraft carrying out the actual strikes, that would likely be the B-2 bomber which is a different aircraft all together (uses different and has a more well-rounded RCS from all angles compared to the F-22).